Editor's note: on occasion I wander into the technical areas of the sport where I do feel less informed than others might be. If I make a mistake, I apologise beforehand. If I have muffed anything: Andy - help a brother out on the facts!
Most of us are well aware of the term, two drivers go for
the same gap, neither having an advantage nor acting irresponsibly, but both wind up with a bad
outcome. In abstract Game Theoretic
terms, it is an outcome that is achieved when players in the Game are acting within
their self interests and behaving responsibly relative to the terms of the game achieve
an outcome that is optimal for none.
As the #EngineforShank saga nears a resolution, it is
becoming clear that the outcome will satisfy no one, but neither do the
currently known facts point to devious doings.
Simply put, it may be One of Them Racin’ Deals.
Many pet conspiracy theories are popping up regarding the inability
of Shank to secure a deal: He runs a
Ford in Grand Am so no one will touch him;
Chevy is getting back at the league for TurboGate; Penske and Ganassi are pulling strings cuz
theyre ‘fraid. None of this is supported
by fact and the unfortunate thing is that some who are putting this crap out
there are media members from whom the fan base expects diligence in reporting
standards. As a result, many might take these paranoid fabrications as fact which
ultimately damages the image of the companies involved and the league in
general.
I don’t know the details of what really is happening – let me
state that up front, but I know what I know and based on the string of what I
assume is true, the likely outcome is not scandalous, just a misfortunate
outcome from a situation where all the players are acting within their self interest
and more importantly withing the confines the rules.
First thing I want to address: You cannot simply get an
IndyCar engine off the shelf and go racing.
An IndyCar engine is a stressed component of the
chassis. Meaning that it is part of the
car's load bearing architecture. The
engine screws onto the driver tub, and the rear suspension screws into the
engine.
In other forms of racing, the frame or chassis is a complete
unit and the engine drops in and bolts in.
So theoretically if you wanted to pull the juiced flat four boxer out of your
Subaru STI, fabricate some mounting assembly, you can go racing. I recall that the 24 hours of Daytona was won
a few years back by a privateer effort that pulled and juiced the Engine from a Porsche
Cayenne and dropped it into an existing Grand Am chassis.
In nascar, the engine blocks are commonly available pieces
of equipment. Don’t recall details
exactly, but the engines in nascar are essentially the blocks from a school bus
or dump truck with all sorts of fancy bits put on to make it go fast.
IndyCar engine blocks must be created to power the car and
connect the back of the car to the front. They are
very custom pieces of metal that will never serve another purpose - ever. It is worth noting that the concept of a non
stressed engine was part of the Delta Wing platform, perhaps if a different decision
had been made…
Since they are such custom creations, IndyCar engines from
previous eras will not screw into the current Dallara. It's a NEW CAR and everything is different. The Block/Stock for all engines running today
did not exist six months ago.
With that as a context, if Chevy and Honda were told to
expect to be able to supply X engines at the beginning of the season, and they
begin production months ahead of time with that # as a target and a week
before the season starts some one says “Hey Sarah needs one too” can we really be
surprised when they say there’s no more to be had? The situation is similar here with
Shank.
In reality are there more than enough blocks for the
race? Probably. Something to keep in mind, for all of practice,
teams will be running one engine. Then the
week between quals and Carb day they will switch those engines out for fresh
ones for race weekend. Honda and Chevy will have at least
58 blocks in play for the 500. Want to
ask them to do 2 more with 2 weeks notice?
Really?
Are there spares above and beyond the 58? Yes, but those
are for fire mishaps, engine failures or broken engines from practice wrecks (remember
TK’s block cracking hit from a few years ago?).
They are planned for and budgeted. Pulling from that reservoir to supply Shank threatens
existing teams that might have practice mishaps.
So is it conceivable that neither Chevy nor Honda truly have
excess capacity?? I think it is
credible, and going back to our excursion into Game Theory (Dr Chakrabart has to be so proud right now) they would be acting in their best interest and within the rules.
So now the microscope turns to Lotus, much maligned for their poor effort thus
far. But in reality no one should have
expected all three manufacturers to be equally competitive out of the box. Two words “Alfa Romero”.
Could they supply an Engine?
Certainly, they have supplied more for the first three races than they
are slated to provide for the 500 (5 compared to 3). But
here is where Shank's self interest comes into play. The Lotus has proven to be an under engineered
failure this far into the experiment.
Even if he was guaranteed a spot in the 33, he believes it to be detrimental
to his team and brand to enter a car that has no hope of a reasonably good
finish.
So in theory, there is an engine available. But in reality he
does not want to look the fool and is choosing to not run as opposed to running
as a glorified start n park. Again, a player
acting in his best interest within the scope of the rules lain out.
No conspiracy theories needed to get to this unwanted
outcome, and I do think this sucks for Shank.
So what now? What of the 33? Here’s my THEORY.
NHL in pulling out is probably taking the same stance as Shank here. We are at 32. Lotus
has extra engines. Jean Alesi or
representatives for him are again suggesting that after recently backing off of
the idea of entering,
there may be news relating to the 500 this week. To save the
league from embarrassment stemming from their shortcomings as a participant thus far,
Lotus ponies up enough cash (liberated in the separation from DRR and or Herta) to one of their two remaining teams to run an extra car for someone. Perhaps Alesi, hopefully someone a little
more relevant.
The field is filled and
the show goes on.
Is it the best case
scenario? Nope, Just one of them Racin’
Deals.